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Today's (TD) America Trade  

Today's America Trade Tip of the Month - How Can Friday's Stock or Futures Price Action Predict Monday's Price Movement?

Is it possible a financial market trading method may be profitable based on a simple trading system involving Friday's prices predicting Monday's market opening price?

This trade pattern does not appear every week but it's often reflected in the financial trader markets. And when it does appear, the following Monday's prices tend to perform in a predictable manner, possibly leading to trading profit! The trade setup requires Friday's open and close price to trend in the same direction as each other. Interim price movements and directions are not relevant for this trading methodology.

The stock or commodities price open doesn't need to go far past the first several ticks, as a price-gap that immediately reverses is sufficient for the purposes of this method, but that's the direction the closing price needs to trend. Monday's opening price is likely to at least first start trending in the same direction vs the pattern of the 2 prices from Friday moving in the same direction as each other, then Monday's open is *likely* to start trending in the same direction immediately after the opening-bell.

Do your own technical analysis of old price action based on 1-minute bar-charts or real-time tick-charts to view the price action and market trade patterns each week. You will see it does not work every week but does appear to be better than 50% reliable. This trading method may work particularly well involving online commodity trading, in addition to stock market and foreign exchange trading involvng FX Forex markets.

Today's (TD) American Trade  

Tips for Online Investing - What You Need to Know About Trading
In Fast-Moving Market Conditions?

The price of some stocks, especially recent 'hot' initial public stock offering (IPO's) and high tech stocks, can soar and drop suddenly. In these fast markets when many investors want to trade at the same time and prices change quickly, trading delays can develop across the board. Executions and confirmations slow down, while reports of prices lag behind actual prices. In these markets, investors can suffer unexpected trade losses very quickly.

Investors trading over the-web or online, who are used to instant access to their accounts and near instantaneous executions of their trades, especially need to understand how they can protect themselves in fast-moving markets.

You can limit your losses in fast-moving markets if you know what you are buying and the risks involved (and very importantly use a resting stop-loss order with your broker) and also know how trading changes during fast markets and take additional steps to guard against the typical problems traders face in quick financial markets.

Online-trades are quick and easy, online profitable trading takes time, expertise and work

With a click of a mouse, you can buy and sell stocks, options or commodities futures from a broker online at hundreds of different stock market, forex market, or commodity brokers online, offering trade executions for as low as $5 per trade or transaction.

Although online-trading saves investors considerable time and money, it does not remove the homework out of making sound investment or trading decisions. You may be able to do day trading and execute a trade in a nano-second, but making wise investment decisions takes time. Before you trade the markets know why you are buying or selling, and the risk of your trade.

Set your price limits on fast-moving futures or stocks: market orders vs. limit orders

To avoid buying or selling a stock at a price higher or lower than you wanted, you need to place a limit order rather than a market order. A limit order is an order to buy or sell a security at a specific price. A buy limit order can only be executed at the limit price or lower, and a sell limit order can only be executed at the limit price or higher. When you place a market order, you can't control the price at which your order will be filled.

For example, if you want to buy the stock of a new IPO that was initially offered at say $9, but don't want to end-up paying more than $20 for the stock, you can place a resting stop-limit-order to buy the stock on a stop at any price up to $20. By entering a limit order rather than an at-the-market-order, you will not be caught buying the stock at $90 and then suffering immediate losses as the stock drops later in the day on profit-taking, or over the weeks ahead.

Remember that your limit order may never be executed because the market price may quickly surpass your limit before your order can be filled. But by using a limit order you also protect yourself from buying the stock at too high a price.

Online trading is not always instantaneous

Investors may find that technological "choke points" can slow or prevent their orders from reaching an online firm. For example, problems can occur where:

  • an investor's modem, computer, or internet-hosting ISP service provider is an issue;
  • a broker-dealer has inadequate hardware or its Internet Service Provider is slow or;
  • traffic on The-Web is heavy, slowing down overall usage.
    A capacity problem or limitation at any of these choke points can cause a delay or failure in an investor's attempt to access an online firm's automated trading system.

Know your options for placing a trade if you are unable to access your account online

Most online trading firms offer alternatives for placing trades. These alternatives may include touch-tone telephone trades, faxing your order, or doing it the low-tech way; talking to a broker over the phone. Make sure you know whether using these different options may increase your costs. And remember, if you experience delays getting online, you may experience similar delays when you turn to one of these alternatives.

If you place an order, don't assume it didn't go through

Some investors have mistakenly assumed that their orders have not been executed and place another order. They end up either owning twice as much stock as they could afford or wanted, or with sell orders, selling stock they do not own. Talk with your firm about how you should handle a situation where you are unsure if your original order was executed.

If you cancel an order, make sure the cancellation worked before placing another trade

When you cancel an online trade, it's important to make sure that your original transaction was not executed. Although you may receive an electronic receipt for the trade cancellation, don't assume that that means the trade was canceled. Orders can only be canceled if they have not been executed. Ask your brokerage firm about how you should check to see if a cancellation order actually worked.

If you purchase a security in a cash account, you must pay for it before you can sell it

In a cash account, pf course you must pay for the purchase of a stock or annuity before you can sell it. If you buy and sell a stock before paying for it, you are free riding, which violates the credit extension provisions of the Federal Reserve Board. If you free ride, your broker must "freeze" your account for 90 days. You can still trade during the freeze, but you must fully pay for any purchase on the date you trade while the freeze is in effect.

You can avoid the freeze if you fully pay for the stock within 5-days from the date of the purchase with funds that do not come from the sale of the stock. You can always ask your broker for an extension or waiver, but you may not get it.

If you trade on margin, your broker can sell your securities without giving you a margin call

Now is the time to reread your margin agreement and pay attention to the fine print. If your account has fallen below the firm's maintenance margin requirement, your broker has the legal right to sell your securities at any time without consulting you first.

Some investors have been rudely surprised that "margin calls" are a courtesy, not a requirement. Brokers are not required to make margin calls to their customers.

Even when your broker offers you time to put more cash or securities into your account to meet a margin call, the broker can act without waiting for you to meet the call. In a rapidly declining market your broker can sell your entire margin account at a substantial loss to you, because the securities in the account have declined in value.

No regulations require a trade to be executed within a certain time

There are no Securities and Exchange Commission regulations that require a trade to be executed within a set period of time. But if firms advertise their speed of execution, they must not exaggerate or fail to tell investors about the possibility of significant delays.

More Information

For more information on online trading problems, read former SEC Chairman Arthur Levitt's message to investors, and the National Association of Securities Dealers' Notice to Members, dealing with online trading. Are you gambling, or investing? The CT Council on Problem Gambling has a quiz you can take to help you decide if you have a problem, and suggests where you can go for help.

What To Do If You Have a Complaint

Act promptly. By Amercian law, you only have a limited time to take legal action. Follow these steps to solve your problem:

1. Talk to your broker or online trading firm and ask for an explanation. Take notes of the answers you receive.

2. If you are not satisfied with the response and believe that you have been treated unfairly by your broker we suggest you ask to talk with the broker's manager. In the case of an online firm, go directly to step-3 below.

3. If your are still dissatisfied, write to the regulatory department at the firm's main office. Explain your problem clearly, and tell the firm how you want it resolved. Ask the compliance office to respond to you in writing within 30-days. If there is no satisfactory settlement of your claim you might consider filing for stock broker arbitration proceedings against your stock-broker.

4. If after all that you are still dissatisfied, next send a complaint letter to the National Association of Securities Dealers, your state government securities administration department, or to the Office of Investor Education and Assistance at the U.S.A. SEC along with copies of the letters you've sent already to the broker firm involved.

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